ISSUE: 2/2026

  • Volume 30
  • Number 2
  • 2026

Subscribe NEWSLETTER

Studia Europejskie –
Studies in European Affairs

ISSN: 1428-149X
e-ISSN: 2719-3780

Ccbync License

License

Articles published in the journal are under a Creative Commons Attribution – Non Commercial – No Derivatives 4.0 International License

Development Of Scientific Journals

Publication co-financed by Ministry of Science and Higher Education pursuant to the Regulation of the Minister of Education and Science of 3 August 2021 (Journal of Laws of 2021, item 1514) on the “Development of Scientific Journals” programme.

Publikacja dofinansowana przez Ministerstwo Nauki i Szkolnictwa Wyższego na podstawie rozporządzenia Ministra Edukacji i Nauki z 3 sierpnia 2021 r. (Dz. U. z 2021 r. poz. 1514) w sprawie programu „Rozwój czasopism naukowych”.

Idub Logo

Publication co-financed by the University of Warsaw within the “Excellence Initiative – Research University” programme.

Czasopismo otrzymało dofinasowanie w ramach Programu „Inicjatywa Doskonałości – Uczelnia Badawcza”.

Frozen Peace, or Peace Without Normality? Student Perceptions of Dayton’s Legacy in North Macedonia

Abstract

Three decades after the signing of the Dayton Peace Agreement, the Western Balkans remain characterised by what contemporary scholarship conceptualises as so-called “frozen peace”, i.e., a condition in which armed conflict has formally ceased, but underlying political, ethnic, and institutional tensions persist. This study examines how today’s university students in North Macedonia, a generation with no direct memory of the 1990s conflicts, perceive the legacy of the Dayton Agreement, regional security dynamics, and the role of international institutions. Drawing on the theoretical frameworks of frozen conflict and institutional trust, this research employs a quantitative survey design involving 61 students from public universities across North Macedonia, predominantly in the field of law. The findings reveal a nuanced, dual perception: while 77% of the respondents recognise Dayton’s effectiveness in ending the Bosnian War, a majority express critical views regarding its long-term political consequences, particularly concerning institutionalised ethnic divisions, political deadlock, and limited state functionality. Notably, 50.8% of students had acquired knowledge about Dayton primarily through the media rather than academic sources, highlighting the role of public discourse in shaping generational memory. Despite growing up in a digital, information-rich environment, respondents demonstrate nuanced political reasoning, recognising both the Agreement’s stabilising function and its structural limitations. The study contributes to the literature on post-conflict peacebuilding by linking generational perspectives with structural analyses of “frozen peace,” demonstrating how younger cohorts internalise and interpret institutional arrangements designed by previous generations. These findings have implications for understanding political socialisation in post-conflict societies, the credibility of Euro-Atlantic integration frameworks, and the long-term sustainability of peace architectures that prioritise stability over democratic consolidation.

References

Balkan Insight (2020) Dayton 2.0: Deal that ended Bosnian war needs rewriting – but how? Available at: https://balkaninsight.com/2020/11/02/ dayton-2-0-deal-that-ended-bosnian-war-needs-rewriting-but-how/ (Access 16.02.2026).

Britannica (2026) Millennial: Definition, characteristics, age range, & birth years. Encyclopaedia Britannica. Available at: https://www.britannica.com/topic/millennial (Access 16.02.2026).

Dellmuth, L.M. and Tallberg, J. (2018) “Why national and international legitimacy beliefs are linked: Social trust as an antecedent factor”, The Review of International Organizations. Vol. 15, pp. 311–337. DOI: 10.1007/s11558-018-9339-y.

DeutscheWelle (2025) The peace that captured the country: 30 years of the Dayton Agreement. Available at: https://www.dw.com/mk/mirot-sto- ja-zarobi-drzavata-30-godini-dejtonski-dogovor/a-74830365 (Access 16.02.2026).

European Youth Wiki / EU (2025) Youth Participation – Bosnia and Herzegovina. Available at: https://national-policies.eacea.ec.europa.eu/ youthwiki/chapters/bosnia-and-herzegovina/5-participation (Access 16.02.2026).

Friedrich Naumann Foundation (2020) Report 2020. Available at: https://www.freiheit.org/sites/default/files/import/2020-12/24962-fnfizvjestaj2020eng.pdf (Access 16.02.2026).

Global Policy Journal (2025) 30th anniversary of Dayton: Unfi nished peace project in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Available at: https://www.global policyjournal.com/articles/conflict-and-security/30th-anniversary- dayton-unfinished-peace-project-bosnia-and (Access 16.02.2026).

IFIMES (2026) Security and geopolitical crisis in Bosnia and Herzegovina: Russian influence, secessionist policies of Republika Srpska, and international responses. Available at: https://www.ifimes.org/en/researches/security- and-geopolitical-crisis-in-bosnia-and-herzegovina-russian-influence-the-secessionist-policies-of-republika-srpska-and-international-resp- onses/5750?q=2026 (Access 16.02.2026).

Investopedia (2025) Generation Z (Gen Z): Definition, birth years, and demographics. Available at: https://www.investopedia.com/generation- z-gen-z-definition-5218554 (Access 16.02.2026).

Jerkic, Z. (2025) 30 Years After Dayton: Bosnia’s Search for a New Settlement. The National Interest. Available at: https://nationalinterest.org/ feature/30-years-after-dayton-bosnias-search-for-a-new-settlement (Access 16.02.2026).

Klosek, K.C., Bahenský, V., Smetana, M. and Ludvík, J. (2021) “Frozen conflicts in world politics: A new dataset”, Journal of Peace Research. Vol. 58(4), pp. 849–858. DOI: 10.1177/0022343320929726.

Kramarić, Z. (2025) Peace without normality: From Dayton to Ohrid – The Balkan paradox of post-conflict peace. Argumentum. Available at: https:// argumentum.al (Access 16.02.2026).

London School of Economics – EUROPP Blog (2015) A flawed recipe for how to end a war and build a state: 20 years since the Dayton Agreement. Available at: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2015/12/14/a-flawed- recipe-for-how-to-end-a-war-and-build-a-state-20-years-since-the- dayton-agreement/ (Access 16.02.2026).

Nurkic, B. (2021) “Legal Positivism: An Obstacle in the Process of Strengthening the Rule of Law in Bosnia and Herzegovina”, Journal of Liberty and International Affairs. Vol. 7(1), pp. 94–105. DOI: 10.47305/JLIA21170094n.

OSCE (1995) Dayton Peace Agreement. Available at: https://bih.osce.org/ bih/126173 (Access 16.02.2026).

Smetana, M. and Ludvík, J. (2018) “Between War and peace: A dynamic reconceptualization of frozen conflicts”, Asia Europe Journal. Vol. 17, pp. 1–14. DOI: 10.1007/s10308-018-0521-x.

Stanford FSI (n.d.) Illiberal partners: How Russia foments sedition and secession in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Available at: https://fsi.stanford.edu/sipr/content/illiberal-partners-how-russia-foments-sedition-and- secession-bosnia-and-herzegovinas (Access 16.02.2026).

Szołucha, A. (2010) “The EU and enlargement fatigue: Why has the European Union not been able to counter enlargement fatigue?”, Journal of Contemporary European Research. Vol. 6(1). DOI: 10.30950/jcer.v6i1.124.

The Conversation (2025) The Dayton Peace Accords at 30: An ugly peace that has prevented a return to War over Bosnia. Available at: https:// theconversation.com/the-dayton-peace-accords-at-30-an-ugly-peace- that-has-prevented-a-return-to-war-over-bosnia-268424 (Access 16.02.2026).

The Guardian (2015) Bosnia’s bitter, flawed peace deal – Dayton Agreement 20 years on. Available at: https://www.theguardian.com/global/2015/ nov/10/bosnia-bitter-flawed-peace-deal-dayton-agreement-20-years- on (Access 16.02.2026).

The National Interest (2025) 30 Years After Dayton: Bosnia’s Search for a New Settlement. Available at: https://nationalinterest.org/feature/30- years-after-dayton-bosnias-search-for-a-new-settlement (Access 16.02.2026).

Download pdf[plus]

Language: English

Pages: 157-178

How to Cite:

Harvard

Ilik, G. and Poposka, V. and Karadjoski, M. (2026) "Frozen Peace, or Peace Without Normality? Student Perceptions of Dayton’s Legacy in North Macedonia". Studia Europejskie – Studies in European Affairs, 2/2026, pp. 157-178. DOI: 10.33067/SE.2.2026.8

APA
Chicago